NQ +1.24% ES +0.41% VIX −3.10% 5Y FULL-TIME INTRADAY CME · NASDAQ

Know yourself
and the market's hidden mechanics.

For 12 years I worked for banks like Citibank, J&T Bank, Dresdner Bank and ČSOB. Then I spent ten years as a psychoanalytic psychotherapist and coach at Charles University and in my private practice in Prague. I've been trading the financial markets intraday for over ten years, five of them full-time. I coach traders and teach order flow, hidden-order detection, auction theory and finding your own Edge.

01

The Manhattan Method

Trade System Expectancy via Monte Carlo

The Manhattan Project that developed the atomic bomb used the Monte Carlo method to simulate a vast number of reactions. The same maths tells you the losing streak to prepare for based on your trading setup. Enter capital size, average win-rate, RRR and run hundreds to thousands of simulations. You get a clear chart you can use as a point of calm when trading hands you uncertainty.

Inputs

Starting capital$50,000
Risk per trade1.2%
Win-rate55%
R/R (reward:risk)1.5

Simulation

Trades per run100
Simulations200
Median final balance
Worst losing streak (95th)
prepare for this
% of runs profitable
over the horizon

Statistical probability of streaks

expected longest consecutive run by number of trades
# Trades Con. losses Con. wins Capital at risk*
* capital burned by the 95th-percentile losing streak at your per-trade risk

200 simulací Monte Carlo

every run overlaid — the spread of where the same edge can take you
individual simulations starting capital

Simulations: Outliers

worst, median, trimmed-mean, and one random "actual" path
Min Median TrimMean Actual

Single simulation series example

trade by trade — exactly like the spreadsheet
Trade Account $ Risk $ Gain/Loss W/L % of capital

Why this matters

Wins and losses are randomly distributed. Even a profitable strategy will hand you a losing streak — the question is not if but how long. A trader who isn't prepared can't handle it, sizes up, and blows the account at the worst moment. The lower chart shows how far apart two paths with the same edge can land.

02

Free ebook

TRADING EDGE & PSYCHOLOGICAL BLIND SPOTS
JAN PRACH · FIELD MANUAL

A field manual for funded traders

No motivational quotes. Seven chapters on why even a prepared trader blows the account — a neurohormonal map of emotion, the mathematics of survival, loss regression, the 20-account approach, and a professional's daily protocol. Drop your email and I'll send the PDF (in English). It's a gift and a taste of the paid content I'll be adding over time.

After entering your email you'll get the PDF download page right away.
03

Seminars for institutions

Educational seminars and workshops for banks, brokers and financial institutions. Three topics built on fifteen years in institutional banking and five years of full-time intraday trading. Format and depth tailored to your audience.

Seminar 01

Market Auction Theory

How the market works as an auction. Balance vs. imbalance, value and price, rotation and trend, reactive levels. The framework that makes everything else in order flow make sense.

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Seminar 02

Non-standard Order Flow Trading

Advanced order-book reading: imbalances, zero prints and iceberg-order indication. How to spot the hidden and algorithmic activity that most traders never see.

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Seminar 03

Trading Psychology

Performance psychology under pressure. Neurochemistry of emotion, probabilistic thinking, risk management and execution discipline. From the perspective of a psychoanalytic psychotherapist and trader.

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04

Online Coaching

1:1 session

Online coaching tailored to the individual trader's needs. Usual topics:

  • Trading psychology — our blind spots, bias, emotions, beliefs
  • Auction theory & order flow
  • Risk management & execution under pressure
  • A tailored action plan

Pick a slot in the calendar on the right. Confirmation and the call link arrive by email.